Posts Tagged ‘mortgage approvals’
Recently, I came off a fixed rate mortgage deal only to find out I had been transferred onto a DIFFERENT lender’s standard variable rate and was paying a massive 4.54% OVER BASE on my monthly repayments! I was pretty shocked as the SVR of the original mortgage was just 2.14% over base. The mortgage repayments seemed reasonable and the rent was still covering the monthly mortgage payments so it took me a while to notice this. I had my original BTL mortgage with a specialist BTL lender who has since been wound up. All their mortgages were ported onto a prominant Midlands based lender.
I wonder how many people are in the same position and are paying way too much on a mortgage without even realising due to low base rates. I decided to speak to my broker immediately and found that there were much better products on the market that I could remortgage onto saving me £100’s in the process. Could you be doing the same?
If you want to find us to review your portfolio with a view to saving you money click here to contact us directly and we’ll be in touch.
We will be running a monthly Portfolio Surgery session, where our brokers will go through your properties and see if there are any areas where you can increase your cashflow through refinance. We will also be answering any questions you may have on all areas of personal finance – tax, insurance, mortgage finance.
If you are coming to the end of a tie in period on a mortgage here are a few questions to ask yourself:
1. Check when the end date of any term is due, make sure you leave at least 3 months before the end date to review your options;
2. Check with the lender what rate of interest you will be paying once you come to the end of the deal. If higher you need to plan in advance. If lower you need to consider what to do with the extra cash flow. Savings, pensions or repaying mortgages could always be options. How about an offset on your residential home and pay the additional money into that pot. You can still have access to your money but it saves you interest on your own home. If you reinvest into a pension, there is tax relief available or you may like to top up your ISA, providing you tax free flexible savings. All actions need to be done tax efficiently;
3. Ask the lender what new products they can offer you;
4. Check the market for current market rents as they could have risen and any lender will base lending on the market rental income. It may also be time to increase the rent on your property;
5. At the same time make sure you review your buildings and contents insurances and any other direct debits associated with the property, one can easily neglect these and they can impact cash flow, so make sure all property costs are competitive.
Please see our daily updated rates table by clicking here and/or contact us and we will be in touch to organise a portfolio surgery session.
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The Mortgage Trust has returned to lending with the launch of a range of buy-to-let products that are only available via intermediaries. The brand is part of Paragon but stopped lending in February 2008 and is now being relaunched by the firm.
Products include a two-year tracker at 3.99% and a two-year fixed rate deal at 4.99%, both of which are for remortgage customers only, available up to 75% LTV, have a fixed fee of £999 and come with free valuation and legal fees.
John Heron, director of mortgages at Mortgage Trust, says: “Mortgage Trust is extremely well regarded within the intermediary community and has an excellent reputation for catering for simple buy-to-let cases.
“By utilising technology to a much greater extent in the application process via mton-line.co.uk, we will be giving an initial lending decision in minutes. This will deliver a quicker and more efficient process for intermediaries and their landlords.”
Heron adds the brand will be focused on what is known for, that is catering to landlords with less complex needs who own four to five properties, while Mortgage Trust will be expanding its range of products in due course.
Mortgage Trust’s deals are available for buy-to-let applications on single self-contained properties, rental calculation is based on 125% at 5% and applications must be successfully completed by June 24 2011.
Please see our regularly updated mortgage calculator and please feel free to contact us at info@psinvestors.co.uk for more information about this and other buy to let products.
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Posted in Due Diligence, Finance | No Comments »
This is basically the first stage in securing a mortgage product. It is where your basic personal details are inputted onto the lenders system so that they can check that you are credit worthy of obtaining a mortgage. It is also the stage at which they also assess if you meet their lending criteria for the product you are applying for.
Lenders have their individual systems and this is why it is important not to rush into doing this without obtaining advice as applying for a decision in principle will usually result in the lender credit scoring you, which means that a ‘footprint’ can be left upon your Experian and Equifax credit reports. ‘footprints’ can actually lower a credit score if you have too many, therefore you must not rush into obtaining a decision in principle without seriously considering the lenders criteria.
A qualified mortgage adviser will be able to assist you appropriately once they have taken all the necessary personal details from you. Remember the higher your credit score the higher the chances of being accepted for a mortgage.
In order to help your adviser recommend and apply for a mortgage on your behalf it is advisable to have certain documents easily accessible as it will help speed the process up:
(i) If you are already an investor and have a portfolio of properties then you should have a spread sheet of your properties, listing the following:
- Property address;
- Property description: house, flat, no. beds, freehold, leasehold etc., age, any special features. ( if you have a previous valuation report that will help);
- Date purchased;
- Purchase price;
- Current value;
- Current mortgage outstanding;
- Current mortgage product, end date and payrate;
- Current mortgage payment;
- Current rental income;
- Current market rental (if you don’t know the current market property or rental values, now is the time to find out from a local agent).
Remember for any application, purchase or remortgage, the lender will instruct their surveyor to value the property as part of the application process. They will use local market information and their experience to decide what values will be put on the report sent back to the lender. It is therefore worth researching into past property sales and local market rents before you submit an application to enhance the success of any application. The main reason many BTL applications fail to convert successfully is due to the property valuations being overinflated by clients at the decision in principle stage. You therefore need to be certain the figures your broker is working from are accurate as it will only enhance the chances for successful application and completion and also prevent unnecessary ‘footprints’ on your credit file;
(ii) Your passport. Your adviser will need to take a copy of this and the lender may require a copy as well, which the mortgage adviser has to sign as being a true copy. if they cannot see the original it may be worth getting your solicitor to sign it. Other professionals can also sign it and your broker can advise you on this;
(iii) Proof of address. A recent utility bill or bank statement showing your name and address, dated within the last 2 months would meet this requirement. If you have lived at your current address for less than 3 months, then you will need to also have similar documents for your previous address;
(iv) Last 3 years accounts. Lenders have differing income requirements and its worth knowing what your net figures are. Now is the time to contact your accountant if you don’t have the figures or documents. If income is derived from employment then please store payslips and p60s and file accordingly. Lenders may want to see the last 3 months;
(v) Proof of any deposit. Lenders may want to know the source of this and see a bank statement showing it in your account.
Applying for a Buy to Let mortgage can only be straight forward and easy if you and your broker are prepared. Lenders have the right to ask for any documentation they feel is necessary for their internal and regulatory procedures. Therefore having the above documents available will ensure your application can successfully complete in a short a time scale as is possible.
To find out more about how you can realistically obtain buy to let mortgage finance in today’s challenging climate, please email us at info@psinvestors.co.uk and we will be in touch within the next 24 hours. ***Also see our daily updated mortgage calculator by clicking here.***
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Posted in Finance, Tips for Property Investing | No Comments »
This month sees a number of interesting products on the market. Please be aware that products and rates quoted may not still be available at the time of application:
- Kensington have announced a product linked to a mortgage club so you need a broker to submit it but it’s a 2 yr fixed at 5.99% at 85% with a 2.5% fee. They are the first lender to come out with an 85% product with a competitive rental income of 120% at the product payrate. The individual needs to have a min income of 30,000 for this product and they will accept one years accounts. Advances up to £350,000, min property value £90,000. Not for first time buyers. New build max lending 65%. Min age 25. Interest only allowed;
- If you are looking for a product with no tie ins, then TMW are offering a 2 yr tracker at 70%LTV with a 3.5% arrangement fee and rental income of 125% at 4.99%. TMW do not require neither a minimum personal income nor a proof of income, most nowadays require £25,000. Tracker product clients also have the ability to switch anytime onto their fixed product range with no penalty, so for those wanting to make the most of the low tracker rate but concerned that rates may rise this could be a lender suitable for them;
- TMW also have a range of products for first time landlords, however do note that the landlord must be a residential home owner;
- If you are looking for assistance with the mortgage fees, BM Solutions are offering a 4.2% 1 yr tracker product with a 2.5% arrangement fee, £500 cash back and a refund of valuation upon completion. BMS now have a restriction of 3 BTL properties and a lending cap of 2 million across the whole of the Lloyds TSB group which doesn’t tend to make it favourable for the existing portfolio client however for those that don’t their range is competitively priced and the 4.2% tracker quoted above has a competitive rental calculation of 125% at 4.2%;
- For those who have properties in the south of England, Cambridge BS could be an option. They have 2 products, the lowest being a 3.99% 2 year tracker with a 3.5% fee, using the payrate at 135%. However they require applications to be submitted by paper and lending is restricted to certain southeast regions;
- For off plan and unusual property types, Natwest continue to be reliable, offering a 4.99% 2 yr tracker with a £1999 fee. They do however restrict lending to 70% on this product and with a rental calculation of 125% at 6.9% it can be viewed as fairly limiting.
To find out more about any of these products and speak to our resident broker, please email us at info@psinvestors.co.uk and we will be in touch within the next 24 hours. Please subscribe to our newsletter to the left to receive our monthly property investors factsheet.
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Please see below an interview with Lisa Orme from Keys UK Limited – a genuinely experienced investor that is often referred to as the ‘expert’s expert’. We discuss her history as a professional property investor; the risks of a bottoming market; whether property today is only for the cash rich; newbie investing / entering the market with low cash reserves; no money down in 2011; tips obtaining mortgage finance in a challenging market; improving your credit rating for the buy to let lenders; the FSA’s ‘Mortgage Market Review’; property options / impending regulation; the base rate rise and some advice for highly geared landlords.
1) For those that do not know, can you give our readers a bit of background about yourself? I’m Lisa Orme but you may also see me referred to as Lisa Williams. I can assure you I’m one in the same person! Orme was my maiden name and Williams is my married name. Most people in property circles know me as Orme so I tend to stick to that. My husband, Stuart and I, started Keys UK Limited almost ten years ago. We read ‘Rich Dad, Poor Dad’ by Robert Kiyosaki and that was our epiphany moment. Wanting to ‘get into property’ we started the letting agency working from home in addition to both having full time jobs but quickly realised it was the landlords who were making the money. So we sold an endowment policy that would never give us the promised returns and used the £40k it gave us to buy a property to refurb. We sold it and made a £40k profit – a 100% return on our investment. We got the property bug and spent the next 8 years or so investing in and developing property in the Midlands. When the credit crunch hit and things went quiet we started our own mortgage brokerage. A lot of people thought I was completely mad but it’s a brilliant addition to our business strategy and I had no idea how much I would love it.
2) It has become increasingly apparent that the property market is close to the bottom which many people are seeing as an excellent opportunity – but what do you perceive are the main risks? I actually think its got a way to go yet. We still have the fact that the banks have to repay all of their loans, the VAT increase and massive cuts in the public sector which will knock onto the private sector (especially in the construction industry) and affect confidence which will further affect jobs and incomes and ultimately mean people losing their homes thus creating further falls in the market. That doesn’t mean its not a good time to buy however; prices are low and if you’re either in and out for quick profit or in it for the long haul you can’t go wrong if you buy sensibly.
2) Do you the property investment market today is only for the cash rich? There’s no doubt that cash is king but not in terms of being able to move quickly on deals but in terms of the levels of deposits being demanded by lenders. But that’s not to say that there aren’t ways to buy property without you having the cash yourself and I’m not talking about so called ‘no money down’ schemes. If you have cash rich joint venture partners then this is a great way to be able to profit from someone else’s cash if they can profit from your knowledge and experience. Partnering together on mortgages is perfectly legitimate way to work together. Buying cash then remortgaging or topping up the difference on bridging then selling or remortgaging are also good and totally legitimate strategies.
3) For newbies – do you think it’s advisable to enter as a property investor without savings or some kind of cash back up fund? Absolutely not. Even if you fall for a no money down scheme property is still a very cash intensive business. If you have a couple of months void period, a boiler breakdown or what happened to me with one of my first tenants trashing the property leaving £10,000 worth of damage and £6,000 of rent arrears then you’re going to be in trouble! You should ensure you have several thousand pounds of cash available for these eventualities at the very least. And the more properties the bigger the reserve should be.
4) Should a new investor wish to enter the market with a small amount of cash reserves – what would be your best advice? Ensure you have a back up supply of cash whether that be a JV partner or relative, a credit card or an overdraft. Not that I’d recommend getting into debt other than the mortgage for a property but to go into property with no reserve at all is just crazy.
5) What are your thoughts on no money down in the current market (for example using a secured loan to bridge the deposit and very other strategies being used)? As long as there is full disclosure to the lender of your ACTUAL purchase price then I don’t have problem with it. The problem is none of the schemes I have seen do this and all involve non-disclosure which is potentially mortgage fraud and is being committed by the applicant. There are lenders that may consider more creative deal structures using borrowed money for deposits, vendor gifts or alternative assets/security being used as the deposit but none of these will be the main buy to let lenders. These will be commercial type lenders that will want to know every aspect of the deal before agreeing to it and probably charge significantly higher rates and fees as a result.
6) As an experienced mortgage finance specialist, do you think the main buy to let lenders will continue to accept these kinds of applications (knowing that investors are leveraging themselves)? Lenders DON’T accept these type of applications at all. They are submitted subversively. Lenders are duped into believing the client is paying x for a property when they are in fact paying y. If the lender was informed (as per their terms and conditions) of the ACTUAL purchase price then they will most likely refuse the case completely but at best only lend based on the ACTUAL purchase price.
7) In terms of obtaining mortgage finance, what would be your suggestions for an investor to improve their positions in the eyes of the buy to let lenders? A good credit score is only half the story and I’m fully aware of people with over 900 on their credit files failing and those with much lower scores passing. Lenders will be looking at your score and your credit profile combined as well as a number of other factors. Any one of these alone may not have that dramatic an impact but combine two or more and you could find yourself being rejected by lenders:-
- Ensure you are on the electoral roll;
- Avoid moving house frequently – the ideal is one address covering the last 3 years;
- Keep your current bank account clean; by this I mean avoid late charges, going over overdraft limits, ensure you have plenty of credits and debits on a regular basis and that they all get paid;
- Ensure you have at least one utility bill in your name – there’s a tendency for one adult to take responsibility for all bills in many households but this can work against you so put them in joint names or split them between you;
- Watch those credit cards and loans – even if you have never missed a payment lots of unsecured debts will adversely affect your applications;
- Similarly if you have lots of credit cards and aren’t using them cancel a few – lots of available unsecured debt can have the same detrimental affect;
- NEVER miss a mortgage payment – unless you have a very good reason for this and the evidence to back it up this will certainly result in a declined application;
- Avoid missing credit card and loan payments – the odd one over several years is unlikely to have that bad an effect but lots of them or a regular habit of missed payments will mean no.
It’s not true that those with large portfolios can’t borrow as many of my clients could testify and given we are extremely busy with everyone from brand new investors through to investors with multimillion pound portfolios I know lenders are still lending and clients are still borrowing!
8)Can investors and landlords expect to feel the effects of the FSA ‘Mortgage Market Review’? The Mortgage Market Review is primarily concerned with residential mortgages but we are seeing lenders be overly cautions for example self cert was only mooted as being targeted by the FSA but in order to pre-empt the FSA hatchet the lenders just withdrew from self cert and there is now no self cert residential mortgages available at all! There are rumours about banning interest only mortgages and there are many buy to let investors rightly concerned about this but again it is very unlikely to apply to buy to let and more likely we will only see changes in residential lending and already have. The impact is therefore that lenders pull the plug prematurely and withdraw from problem areas or areas that they see as requiring more effort. Buy to let is certainly one of those areas which is why we are left with so few lenders. And those that are left tightening criteria and reducing lending levels. But there are some new players too and likely to be more in the coming few years so all is not lost for buy to let; on the contrary I think the future holds great promise.
9) You are very well known for your understanding of property options – what would be your advice to people looking into this strategy for the short to medium term future? Short would be the operative word for me. We will now only do option deal where there is a very defined and relatively short term exit ideally under 12 months. A perfect example might be a redemption penalty situation; the clients can sell for say £120k which suits you if it were not for a redemption penalty that adds an additional £6,000 to the debt and finishes the deal for you both. This is a perfect example of where I would use an option to seal the deal, let out the property and then complete on the purchase when the redemption penalty expires. The clients have moved on, there’s a clear and defined exit and they will be motivated to complete on the deal.
Too many lease option deals are being done where debts are involved and often the sellers get sellers remorse once you have taken away the immediate pain. I am aware of many investors who have lost a lot of money on options that they will never get to complete on because the owner has refused to exercise the option. Taking these to court is a waste of time and money.
10) With the increased media attention options have receiving this year – can we expect to see regulation come into play (as with sell and rent back a few years ago)? This is extremely likely and the FSA already have their eye on these. It’s not going to happen just yet as with sale and rent back it will be when a number of cases are highlighted in the press or to organisations such as Shelter. This is not likely to come about until we see a wave of repossessions when interest rates rise or when house prices go up. In the former case investors who have taken on properties due to a low rate on the underlying mortgage will find their cashflow stretched and will walk away (as the option legally though not morally allows them to do) leaving the ‘seller’ in the lurch and probably not realising that this could happen.
In the case of house prices most investors are only going to want to exercise the option when house prices have gone up sufficiently to make it worth their while. At this point seller remorse kicks in and the seller realises how much equity they’re giving up. A quick call to citizen’s advice or their solicitor to check on the validity of these agreements or going to ground will prevent many investors being able to exercise their options.
The real concern comes where there are also tenant buyers who may have paid deposits that investors have spent and/or paid higher rents expecting those to be credited towards their home. I’ve already seen several examples of investors heading towards bankruptcy and tenant buyers being unaware that their money is lost and option worthless. It is when all this starts to unravel we will see regulatory changes; all too late of course but the fallout has the potential to be huge and to damage the industry further.
11) What is your advice to people who maybe on tracker / variable rates and are concerned about the eventual base rate rise? Assume rates are going to rise! It would be unwise to get comfortable on the current low rates. Preparation is key; it’s no good when rates rise saying ‘I never saw that coming’! If that means selling some or even all of your properties then do it! If it also means not buying any more and consolidating them so be it.
12) And – for the highly geared landlord concerned about the slow recovery of house prices – would you be able to provide some potential risk mitigation strategies? There are a number of things landlords can do but they all involve assessing the situation and getting real with yourself – there’s no quick fix once you have decided to bury your head in the sand. Some suggestions include:
- Getting a job!
- Expanding your services – manage property deals or refurbishments for other investors;
- Curb your spending (personal and property) – if that means getting rid of the sports car or downsizing your home so be it;
- Budget and monitor your expenses like a hawk;
- Improve cashflow – can you increase your rents? Can you offer added incentives or a new fixed term tenancy? Can you let to LHA tenants (although be careful of the changes next year)?;
- Manage your properties yourself to reduce management and letting fees;
- Convert single lets to Houses of Multiple Occupation (HMOs);
- Remortgage – whilst many people are on low base rate trackers, I’m constantly surprised by how many aren’t. Speak to your mortgage adviser about the current products on offer – you may surprised at how low some of the rates actually are and with LTVs up to 80%, things aren’t as bad as many make out;
- Refinance – it may be better to pull out some cash as a reserve for tougher times now than not be able to later. Don’t spend it of course but placed in a decent savings account, it may help you out if times get tough;
- Insure against rate rises – it’s possible to take out an insurance policy to hedge against rate rises. You simply determine when you want the insurance to kick in and they’ll cover the payments over and above that point. Its nowhere near as expensive as investors believe it to be, for example: to cover £1,000,000 worth of interest only mortgages 2% beyond where they currently are (e.g. current rate 2.5% so insurance will pay anything over 4.5%) will cost just £262 a month;
- Finally do talk to your lender even if you haven’t missed any payments yet. They don’t want to repossess, especially not in the current market. If they can help they will, and will help you do a portfolio review, determine a strategy going forward and a ‘what if’ should the worst happen.
For mortgage advice and information contact Lisa at lisa@keys-mortgages.com or call 024 7617 0096; please mention PSI.
You can also get updates on new products and services, financing tips and advice at www.twitter.com/keysmortgages and property investor updates and tips at www.twitter.com/lisaorme
The above is for information purposes only; rates can change and may not be applicable at the time of publication. Please consult appropriate professionals and contact us for up to date quotations. Keys (UK) Limited is an Appointed Representative of Julian Harris Mortgages Ltd. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority in the conduct of mortgage and general insurance business with FSA No. 304155. Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on a mortgage or other loan secured on it. Think carefully before securing other debts against your home. Buy to let (pure) and commercial mortgages are not regulated by the FSA.
For full details of our terms, fees and disclosures please go to the Keys Mortgages website at www.keys-mortgages.com
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Posted in Business Management, Finance, Lease Options, Tips for Property Investing | No Comments »
November 2010 Property Investors Factsheet (free membership required)
The base interest rate remained at a record low of 0.5 percent (the longest period since World War 2), with one dissenter – Andrew Sentence – continuing to vote for a marginal rate rise to control inflationary pressures (no further quantitative easing will take place for the time being). The UK´s gross domestic product rose by 0.8 percent in the third quarter and former Bank of England official Deanne Julius stated that chances of a further recessionary dip occurring were ´10 percent or less.´ However, Chancellor George Osborne stated the economy still faced a ‘choppy’ outlook and, whilst several have stated the case against the £81 billion of public spending cuts, he remained firm on the plan insisting that the Coalition would reduce inflation via the means of robust fiscal and monetary policy.
House prices, as predicted by many, have witnessed monthly drops apart from a reported 3.10 percent increase stated by Rightmove (based on asking prices). According to the Land Registry, the biggest drops in the last month have been in the West Midlands by 1.4 per cent, followed closely by a 1 per cent fall in the East Midlands pushing the regions average prices to £128,646. The index also indicated that London average values had fallen by 0.6 percent to £340,344. Property portal Zoopla stated that the number of properties for sale in the UK that have seen at least one house price reduction has climbed by more than 13% over the past three months – with Manchester seeing an average of a 7.15 percent reduction in prices; Newcastle with 7.13 percent and Milton Keynes with 7.04 percent. The general sentiment remains that house prices look set to drop further due to lower demand and a larger amount of properties hitting the market. Such drops are not expected to be rapid due to both the low bank base rate and an increased amount of competitive product availability.
A financial adviser confidence tracker report by Paragon Mortgages illustrated that the availability of buy to let mortgages in the UK has improved. 43 percent of surveyed mortgage brokers said that the number of available deals Q3 2010 has risen. Another 38 percent said they have not noticed any changes in the number of mortgage deals for property investors / landlords, and 19 percent of respondents said the number of available loans fell. The survey also found that 58 percent expect the situation not to change as 2010 draws to a close, whereas 35% expect it to get better. The remaining 7% think the availability of buy to let mortgages will decline. In terms of notable products, the Mortgage Works are the only lender offering 80 percent loan to value (with a 5.89 pay rate fixed until the end of 2013) and the Bank of China are offering a one year variable with a very competitive pay rate of 3.88 percent (1 year variable with a 75 percent loan to value).
In other landlord related news, as figures published the Office of National Statistics reported the one in eight Brits are living in a workless household entirely reliant on benefits – the British Property Federation (BPF) requested the Conservative peer and former investment banker Lord Freud to retract a claim that property owners increasing their rents was the main factor in creating a higher welfare bill for the taxpayer. Its analysis of figures from the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) shows rising average payments in the private sector accounted for around 13.2 per cent of the growth in housing benefit costs. According to the BPF, by comparison, 70 percent of the rise was attributed to new claimants coming into the system, mainly because of unemployment linked to the recession. Lord Freud also recently responded to critics of housing benefit reforms as “scaremongering” insisting the cuts would not lead to a substantial increase in homelessness, stating: “it’s immensely unhelpful when people and commentators stir up fears using somewhat arbitrary figures about potential homelessness because it frightens people. We are not expecting any significant increase in homelessness as a result of these changes and are expecting a large number of people who see less housing benefit to be able to negotiate their rents downwards.”
Tags: ARLA, Association of Residential Lettings Agents, auction property market, auction property statistics, bank base rate, bank of china buy to let, bank of china mortgages, bbr, buy investment property, consumer price index, CPI, credit, debt levels, economics property, Halifax house prices, house prices, how to invest in property, inflation, invest in property, Land Registry house prices, latest buy to let mortgages, Lloyds buy to let, Lloyds TSB lending, Mervyn King, Monetary Policy Committee, mortgage approvals, MPC, Nationwide house prices, october 2010 property, property economist, property invest, property investment tips, Property Investor Factsheet, property statistics, real estate facts, real estate statistics, repossessed houses, Repossession houses, repossession levels UK, repossessions, retail price index, RICS Housing Survey, RICS surveyor, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), RPI, the mortgage works buy to let, tmw buy to let, unemployment UK, value invest
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October 2010 Property Investors Factsheet (free membership required)
As it was decided that the UK bank base rate will remain at 0.5 percent, further disagreement was seen amongst Monetary Policy Committee members – not only from Andrew Sentance (who has called for a 0.25 percent increase for some time) but also Adam Posen, an internationally respected expert on Japan’s ‘lost decade’, suggested that more, not less, monetary stimulus was needed: “it is right for both long-term stability and short-term performance for central banks to do more now…”
Halifax’s September report of a 3.6 percent monthly drop as a ‘beginning of a sustained period of declining house prices’ was described by Howard Archer of Global insight as ’shocking’: “while a drop in house prices always seemed probable in September after Halifax had reported price rises in August and July that conflicted with other surveys, a plunge of of this size was off everybody’s radar.” The RICS Housing Survey this month also showed only 7 percent of surveyors seeing a rise in prices (compared to last months 11 percent) and 38 percent seeing falls (compared to 25 percent last month). A survey by Zoopla reported that homeowner confidence had fallen amid concerns over the availability of mortgage finance: 63 percent of homeowners now expect property prices to rise over the next six months, compared to 78 percent of homeowners in June. However, positive news for property investors was announced by ARLA (Association of Residential Lettings Agents) that the number of tenants seeking rental properties has reached an eight year high – demand is highest in the south east of England where 81 percent of agents reported that there are more tenants than properties compared to 67 percent in the rest of the UK and 73 percent in Central London. A Markit / CIPS survey of construction industry purchasing managers showed an unexpected pick in the level of activity – although doubts remained as to how demand will fare in the next few months.
The lending markets have also seen some encouraging signs with Legal & General (in its third quarter adviser confidence index) reporting that 85 percent of advisers predicting that business will improve or at least stay the same over the next 3 months despite the current undertone of negativity. Buy to let product wise, the Mortgage Works (TMW) have positively revised their product range – sending us the following information:
- New one and two-year tracker mortgages at 70 percent LTV, with rates starting at 3.39 percent;
- A two-year fixed rate option with 0 percent arrangement fee now available at up to 70 percent LTV;
- The expansion of the longer term product range with the introduction of a four-year fixed rate (up to 75 percent LTV) and a five-year fixed rate (up to 80 percent LTV);
- The introduction of a £1,000 cashback option for HMO applications;
… as well as some enhancements to the buy to let range including:
- One-year fixed and tracker remortgages options at 70 percent LTV, now available at 3.99 percent, with free standard valuation and standard legal fees;
- Tracker rates improved by up to 0.15 percent across the range;
- A free standard valuation option available for house purchase customers when they select: TMW’s two-year fixed rate mortgage at 60 percent LTV with a 0 percent arrangement fee;
- Significant rate improvements across all HMO and Limited Company products.
The Bank of China have continued to seek a wider share of the UK buy-to-let market with a 1 year 75 percent LTV product with a 4.1 percent payrate. Cuts have also been seen in the broader residential lending – for example by HSBC (with a reduction of 0.4 percent on all its 80 percent LTV mortgage products) and Lloyds TSB (with the introduction of a 70 percent LTV fixed rate with interest at 3.39 percent).
In related news, despite marginal growth last month, a survey of 400 agencies by the Recruitment and Employment Confederation (REC) and KPMG pointed to an increased risk of a ‘double dip’. Kevin Green, the REC’s chief executive, stated to the FT: “I think the labour market is in for a real bumpy ride – unemployment, currently 2.47m or 7.8 percent of the workforce, could rise again to 2.7m by the middle of next year.”
Tags: ARLA, Association of Residential Lettings Agents, auction property market, auction property statistics, bank base rate, bank of china buy to let, bank of china mortgages, bbr, buy investment property, consumer price index, CPI, credit, debt levels, economics property, Halifax house prices, house prices, how to invest in property, HSBC mortgage lending, inflation, invest in property, Land Registry house prices, latest buy to let mortgages, Lloyds buy to let, Lloyds TSB lending, Mervyn King, Monetary Policy Committee, mortgage approvals, MPC, Nationwide house prices, october 2010 property, property economist, property invest, property investment tips, Property Investor Factsheet, property statistics, real estate facts, real estate statistics, repossessed houses, Repossession houses, repossession levels UK, repossessions, retail price index, RICS Housing Survey, RICS surveyor, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), RPI, the mortgage works buy to let, tmw buy to let, unemployment UK, value invest
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September 2010 Property Investor Factsheet
Please click on the link above to access this months property investor’s news and information factsheet (note you will have to be a member of the Property Investor Hub which can be done quickly and easily here).
Despite two of the major house price indices pointing to rises, the general consensus has been to expect a market slowdown in the coming months (Halifax’s house price index reported slower growth in August as compared to the month previous). 12 percent less of RICS surveyors are reporting an increase in prices compared to the previous month and the average discount at property auctions across the UK dropped by 1.6 percent. Data from the Homebuilders Federation showed that construction orders – a forward-looking measure – fell in the second quarter by the sharpest amount since 1974. National Housing Federation (NHF) estimations also pointed to negative equity remaining in the market until 2014 – especially for properties bought in 2007 prior to the onset of the credit crunch. The Survey of English Housing statistics showed that between 2003 and 2009 the proportion of owner-occupiers fell from 70.9% to 67.9%, representing the first decline in home-ownership for a century.
Whilst mortgage approvals increased by 1,079 (with totals reaching approximately half their pre-crisis levels), the Bank of England reported that lending to private non-financial companies fell in July for the 11th month in a row. Nevertheless, in the wider mortgage market, lenders have been offering increasingly competitive rates – including the Halifax’s announcement of the ‘Great Rate Cut’ (up until 3rd October), an intermediary fixed rate from the Abbey; Norwich & Peterborough Building Society offering a 4.49 five year fixed rate (80 percent LTV) amongst others. In the buy to let sector, whilst rates and LTV ratios remained broadly in line with last month – The Mortgage Works (TMW) introduced a one-year tracker with no ERCs, offering landlords more flexibility with the potential to repay early without any supplementary charges.
In related news, the employment market is currently growing at its slowest pace in 10 months (although the Recruitment and Employment Confederation reported shortages were emerging in certain sectors and increased demand looking likely for nurses, chefs and engineers to name a few); a survey by LSL Property Services reported fewer rental arrears with only 16% seeing an increase in unpaid rent in the last 12 months and the British Property Federation (BPF) publically announced that proposed cuts to Local Housing Allowance payments are a “recipe for destitution” that would hamper economic recovery across the country.
Tags: auction property market, auction property statistics, bank base rate, bbr, buy investment property, consumer price index, CPI, credit, debt levels, economics property, Halifax house prices, house prices, how to invest in property, inflation, invest in property, Land Registry house prices, latest buy to let mortgages, Mervyn King, Monetary Policy Committee, mortgage approvals, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), Nationwide house prices, property economist, property invest, property investment tips, Property Investor Factsheet, property statistics, repossessed houses, Repossession houses, repossession levels UK, repossessions, retail price index, RICS surveyor, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), RPI, unemployment UK, value invest
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August 2010 Property Investors Factsheet
Please click on the link above to access the latest facts and figures relevant to UK property investors (note you will have to be a member of the Property Investor Hub which can be done quickly and easily here).
The majority of house price indices have pointed to small drops in prices (with the Halifax being the only exception, reporting a 0.6 % increase for July). Whilst Land Registry statistics have also indicated a slight increase in average house prices, this is widely viewed as a balancing out due to the 0.2 percent drop that was seen in May. Additionally, the number of RICS surveyors (who largely rely on Land Registry data) reporting a rise in house prices has decreased by 9 percent since last month which generally adheres to the professional consensus that house prices are set to continue to fall marginally in the coming months. The discount on auction properties has widened by 1.6 percent on the month representing a total of 17.6 percent, according to Fathom Consulting.
Mortgage products available have slightly lost their competitively when compared to previous months with TMW (The Mortgage Works) increasing the pay rate of their 80 percent loan to value product to 5.49 percent (previously 4.69) – attributed due to a rise a demand for what is currently a rare borrowing level. However, results from the banks quarterly reports showed some encouraging signs with Northern Rock demonstrating it is sitting on a cash pile of more than £7 billion; HSBC revealing that its profits for the first half of 2010 had more than doubled to £7 billion (the bank recently announced a fixed 3.95 percent rate for residential property, widely predicted as a result of increased pressure by the government to begin expanding its loan book) and Barclays announcing that their profits have risen by 44 percent to £3.95 billion (they have subsequently initiated rate cuts as a result).
Whilst the bank base rate remained at 0.5 percent, broad ranged predictions with regards to its increase continued to be debated with former Bank of England deputy-governor, Sir John Gieve, stating that it will have to rise earlier and more sharply than expected to keep inflation under control (to 2.5 percent by July 2011) whereas the Ernst & Young ITEM Club predicted that they would not rise at all until the end of 2013 (assuming impending spending cuts come to fruition). A poll by the Fair Investment Company illustrated that 67 percent of respondents thought the base rate would be higher than 0.5 percent by July 2011, with 30 percent predicting a half point increase to 1 percent and 29 percent believing it would hit 1.50 percent in 12 months time. The Bank of England’s inflation benchmark, the Consumer Prices Index, is slowing from the high periods reached earlier in the year – but concerns prompted as to the effects of the impending VAT increase in January 2011 when the British Retail Consortium (BRC) predicted upward pressure on prices in the months ahead looking more likely.
Some other interesting statistics include a daily average of £23.35 million of loan write offs being undertaken by UK banks and building societies; slight decreases in the level of personal and household debt levels as well as a drop in the amount of interest being paid daily (full lending statistics available on the factsheet). Whilst unemployment was reported to have dropped (to 7.8 percent), supplemetary statistics have shown that there are also approximately 5.87 million people who are on the dole in all but name (the Office of National Statistics figures only point to people who are looking for work).
Tags: auction property market, auction property statistics, bank base rate, bbr, buy investment property, consumer price index, CPI, credit, debt levels, economics property, Halifax house prices, house prices, inflation, invest in property, Land Registry house prices, latest buy to let mortgages, Mervyn King, Monetary Policy Committee, mortgage approvals, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), Nationwide house prices, property economist, property invest, property investment tips, Property Investor Factsheet, property statistics, repossessed houses, Repossession houses, repossession levels UK, repossessions, retail price index, RICS surveyor, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), RPI, unemployment UK, value invest
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July 2010 Property Investor Factsheet
Please click on the link above to see the latest facts and statistics for property investors (note you will have to be a member of the Property Investor Hub which can be done in under a minute by clicking here).
Various house price movements were reported by the indices this month – with both the Halifax and the Land Registry reporting a monthly drop (0.6 percent and 0.2 percent respectively) and also the number of RICS surveyors reporting a rise in house prices dropping slightly by 1 percent. Whilst the Nationwide reported a rise of 0.10 percent in June, it was warned that prices could continue to fall during the rest of 2010 with Martin Gahbauer, Nationwides chief economist stating: “barring a significant pick-up in house prices over the next few months, the annual rate of inflation should continue to drift lower, in light of the very strong price increases recorded during the summer of 2009.” Other research from the Halifax found that the cost of owning and running a home in the UK had fallen by 6% over the past two years, driven by a decline in mortgage payments.
With the bank base rate remaining at 0.5 percent (for the 17th month straight), the issue of inflation continues to be debated within the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) with one member – Andrew Sentence – voting for a raise to 0.75 percent to stem the effects of inflation (whilst June’s CPI has fallen back to 3.4 percent, it still remains well above the Bank of England’s 2 percent target). The British Chamber of Commerce stated that the biggest hits will come on to the economy in late 2010 and into 2011 when the fiscal measures begin to have an effect. The International Monetary Fund announced that it forecasts for UK growth this year and next have been revised down, and there has been fresh talk of a possible double dip recession amongst economists. Furthermore,the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) also reported that the UK risked faltering growth for the rest of this year, stating: ”fiscal consolidation both in the UK and the euro area will restrict growth in the short-term and there is clearly a risk that this rate of growth will not be maintained through the rest of this year.” For these reasons several economists are doubting the possibility of rates rising again - Stephen Boyle, of RBS stated: “the stickiness of UK inflation remains a concern, but lower for longer is likely to remain the theme when it comes to interest rates. Fiscal austerity measures mean that monetary policy will have to do most of the heavy lifting if the recovery, already fragile, is to be kept on track.” Roger Bootle, economic adviser at Deloitte, agreed saying: “raising rates now, just when the fiscal squeeze is starting to hit and inflation is about to start falling, would be entirely the wrong thing to do. I can see why the MPC is getting nevous and there are signs that inflation expectations are rising in response. But there has also been plenty of comforting news on the inflation front … Mervyn King has already hinted that monetary policy could loosen further in order to compensate for the fiscal squeeze and I think that’s exactly what should happen. I expect to see the Bank’s quantitative easing programme started up again later this year.”
In other related news, the amount of UK personal debt remained in line with last month as with the amount of people seeking help from the Citizens Advice Bureau (CAB) and the amount of properties being repossessed. There has been a marginal rise in the level of both secured and unsecured lending as well as the amount of interest being paid on a daily basis. The government national debt is decreasing as did the level of unemployment (research by the Recruitment & Employment Confederation (REC) and KPMG showed staff appointments dropped to 60.7 in June, down from 61.3 in the month previous and just above January’s reading of 60.5).
Tags: auction property market, auction property statistics, bank base rate, bbr, Citizens Advice Bureau (CAB), consumer price index, CPI, credit, debt levels, Deloitte, Halifax house prices, house prices, inflation, july 2010 property investor, Land Registry house prices, latest buy to let mortgages, Mervyn King, Monetary Policy Committee, mortgage approvals, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), Nationwide house prices, Number of new, Property Investor Factsheet, RBS, repossessed houses, Repossession houses, repossession levels UK, repossessions, retail price index, RICS surveyor, Royal Bank of Scotland, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), RPI, unemployment UK
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