Posts Tagged ‘Local Housing Allowance’

Being a Landlord / Landlady in 2010…

June 30th, 2010

Please see a short interview we recently did with Steven Hilton from the National Landlords Association (NLA) – a well established organisation that many readers would already be aware of.  We discuss their long history; the benefits / risks of being a landlord in 2010; the concept of the  ‘property millionaire’; industry ethics; the scrapping of the landlord registration system; the Local Housing Allowance (LHA) and evictions…

1) For those new to the industry, can you provide a brief explanation of what the National Landlord Organisation (NLA) is and does? Representing landlords from all over the UK, the NLA is the leading organisation for private-residential landlords. It campaigns for the legitimate interests of landlords by seeking to influence decision-makers at all levels of government and by making landlords’ collective voice heard in the media.

The NLA helps landlords make a success of their lettings business by providing a wide range of information, advice and services. It seeks to raise standards in the private-rented sector while aiming to ensure that landlords are aware of their statutory rights and responsibilities.

2) The NLA have been a long established as a central point of call for investment property owners – how has the organisation changed over time? The NLA has changed a great deal over its 37 year history, even our name was changed in 2003 to better reflect the national spread and diversity of our membership.

However, the core values and objectives of the organisation have never changed. The NLA was created (as the Small Landlords Association)  in 1973 to campaign for a more equitable legal and business framework for private-landlords and although the sector has been transformed in the time since there is still an important role to be played to ensure that the collective voice of property investors is heard.

3) What are the main benefits of being a landlord in 2010? Rental-property is still be a potentially lucrative investment vehicle. Despite the economic downturn returns have remained relatively stable for the majority and provided that you are prepared, and able, to plan for the long-term prospects have continued to be strong.

4) And, conversely, what are the risks? Investors in residential-property have to bear in mind that bricks and mortar are not like stocks and shares. Property, and more importantly tenancies, require maintenance and commitment.  During the course of a tenancy things will go wrong and in all likelihood they will cost time and money so landlords must ensure that they have sufficient contingency funds to cope.

5) Do you believe there is enough information available on the realities of owning investment property? There is a great deal of high quality information available to investors (and potential investors). However, there is also a considerable amount of very poor quality ‘advice’ on offer in the form of ‘get-rich-quick’ schemes and armchair investor workshops. It can be very useful to have the assistance of a reputable landlord association (like the NLA) to act as a filter.

6) Particularly prior to the onset of the credit crunch there was a rise in the presence of unscrupulous landlords - do you believe that there are enough ethics in the industry? Unscrupulous, or rogue landlords as they are often termed, have always existed irrespective of the economic climate. However, immediately prior to the credit crunch we would argue that there was a noticeable rise in ill-prepared property investment. This led to bad practice resulting from ignorance rather than malice so I would suggest that the issue is not an ethical one – but a matter of education and awareness.

7) What can be done to control the presence of such landlords whilst ensuring that those who do operate in an ethical manner do not feel that they are being overburdened with regulation? This is effectively the $1 million question. There are a small number of genuinely unscrupulous operators active in the sector, whom successive governments have attempted to regulate without significant success. The best thing that the sector can do is to continue to drive up standards so that those who fail to offer a decent service are highlighted as unacceptable and driven out of the marketplace.

8)To the relief of many, it was recently announced that impending ‘landlord registration’ system was to be scrapped - do you view this as a positive step or should there perhaps be something in place to protect the rights of good-willed tenants? This announcement was most definitely a positive step as it signals government recognition that the vast majority of landlords offer high quality accommodation.

In the rush to regulate it is often overlooked that there is a significant degree of statutory protection already in place providing an equitable balance between landlords and tenants rights.

9) What are the NLA’s views on the current Local Housing Allowance (LHA) system at present – particularly with regards to the fact that more landlords are becoming reluctant due to the stricter rules that were previously in place (such as rent being paid directly to tenants)? It is highly unfortunate that at a time when more and more tenants are becoming reliant on LHA inadequacies in its administration is making the housing benefit market less appealing to professional landlords.  It is essential that the Government restore a tenant’s choice to elect for direct payment of their LHA to the landlord to arrest the growth in arrears and the spread of the stigma which is becoming attached to LHA recipients.

10) It is said that the UK has one of the longest periods it takes to evict a tenant (for example one who is refusing to pay rent) -what are the NLA’s thoughts on this and what could be done to help landlords in this ever-common situation? It is a common misconception that UK landlords are forced to wait considerably longer to regain possession of their properties than their international counterparts. In fact there are a great many countries with far less agreeable housing legislation.  Never-the-less it can take an unacceptable length of time to obtain vacant possession due to the often sclerotic nature of the courts system. Ensuring that landlords understand the system and approach proceedings properly prepared is the most straightforward way to expedite matters. A landlord association can help with such preparation for a fraction of the cost of formal legal advice.

11)  Finally, how can readers find out more about what you do and become an accredited member? Please see our website at www.landlords.org.uk or call our membership team on 020-7840-8900.  Please also feel free to follow us on Twitter and join our Facebook fanpage.

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The Economy in 2009 for the Property Investor: Quarter 4

December 22nd, 2009
October 2009
Bank Base Rate (BBR): 0.50%
Consumer Price Index (CPI): 1.50%
Retail Price Index (RPI): -0.8%
Homeowners continued to receive optimistic news that house prices were up for another month (albeit marginally).  However, as pointed out by Martin Gahbauer from Nationwide, several indices pointed to slowing growth rates:  “I would not say the market is particularly healthy, but at the beginning of the year there were few economists predicting house prices would be at this level by October.   The overall number of transactions is still low, however, and prices are still vulnerable to increases in supply.”  Howard Archer, Chief Economist at IHS Global Insight, also warned that homeowners could be in for a tough 2010, with prices expected to fall:  “While the Nationwide data indicates that house prices are still on an upward track from their February low, October’s significantly reduced month-on-month increase fuels our suspicion that the recent rally in house prices is unsustainable and will fizzle out before long.  We believe house prices will be at least 5 per cent lower at the end of 2010 compared to now, and the slippage could very well be greater still.”  Other news reported that mortgage lender GMAC were fined £2.8 million by the FSA for levying unfair charges on borrowers in arrears.
UK mortgage approvals climbed to their highest level in 1 ½ years.  Yet, there was an increase in the amount of compulsory liquidations and creditors’ voluntary liquidations by 14.6% in quarter 3 of 2009 when comparing the same period the year before.  In the same quarter, there was an increase of 9.3% on the same period in 2008 of receiverships (410), administrations (974) and company voluntary arrangements (194).  The Insolvency Service reported there were 35,242 individual solvencies in England and Wales (equivalent to 1 every 3.72 minutes) in the third quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis.  This was an increase of 6.6% on quarter 2 and a 28.2% increase when compared to the same period in 2008.  Figures showed public sector net debt (PSND) increased to £829.7bn (59.2% of gross domestic product and £33,188 per household).  The PSND increased by £135bn in 12 months (or £4,268 per second).  The interest paid on the PSND by the Government from between April and October was £15.4bn (equivalent to £1,056 per household per annum).  Another statistics released by the British Bankers Association pointed to total credit card debt in the UK was £54.5 billion (the UK collective credit card limit on credit cards is £158 billion).
The M4 measure that the Bank of England uses to monitor the effectiveness of quantitative easing fell 0.7% from September and was down an annualised 5.3% in the three months through to October (note that The gauge excludes financial companies that specialize in intermediating between banks, such as holding companies and non-bank credit grantors).  The Centre for Economics and Business Research predicted that the Bank of England will key the base rate at 0.5% until 2011 at least, remaining below 2.0% to 2014 stating: “The forecasts are based on the assumption that the incoming government will need to take fiscal action of around 100 billion pounds in tax rises and spending cuts to correct the fiscal deficit. If — as the bookmakers expect — the new government is Conservative, the forecasts suggest tax rises of 20 billion pounds and spending cuts of 80 billion pounds.”
November 2009
Bank Base Rate (BBR): 0.50%
Consumer Price Index (CPI): 1.90%
Retail Price Index (RPI): -1.4%
Hometrack reported a fourth consecutive monthly rise as a ‘shortage of homes sustained the property market’.  The UK’s largest residential housing developer – Barratt – pointed to an increase of reservations per site by over 30% compared to the same period in 2008.  However, Hometrack also stated that the pick-up in prices has not been felt throughout the country and there are several parts that have been consistently falling. The number of active buyers which has propped up the market this year is drying up with new buyer registrations were up at  just 0.1% in November, the lowest level since the start of the year.  Rightmove also reported that average prices in November fell by 1.6% – according to Miles Shipside, Commercial Director: “In all but the most buoyant of markets, home moving comes second to Christmas festivities.  While the market has recovered from some dreadful lows, this month’s price fall proves that it does not yet have the strength to buck seasonal trends.”  The Bank of England stated that the outlook for the housing market “will depend, in part, on the supply of mortgage credit.”
Howard Archer, an economist at Global Insight, said: “House prices will probably keep rising in the next few months but are likely to suffer a relapse next year in the face of higher and still rising unemployment, muted earnings growth and the recent worsening in affordability due to house prices rising from their early-2009 lows.”
Despite a slight rise in actual quarter 2 – overall, there was positive news for UK repossessions with most areas reporting significant decreases in statistics when comparing quarter 3 of 2008 and 2009 (see our repossession statistics report).  Note the number of buy to let properties taken into repossession in the third quarter compared to the second rose from 1,400 to 1,600 – however, for the third quarter in a row, there was a decline in the number of buy to let
mortgages falling into arrears (a decrease of 1.7% when comparing quarter 2 with quarter 3).  The Council of Mortgage Lenders cut its forecast for repossessions in 2009 to 48,000 pointing to strong indicators of increased lender forbearance, Government schemes to help people stay in their homes and the impact of low interest rates.  For investors in Scotland, news pointed to a 20% rise in mortgage actions taken to court in 2008-09 and a 50% rise in decrees granted.
Mervyn King stated that the pace of economic growth may be ‘pretty buoyant’ in the short term even if the recovery is not ‘pretty strong’.  A Gfk NOP report stated that Consumer confidence fell 4 points to minus 17 in November and gauge of whether people think this is a good time to make major purchases dropped seven points to minus 19.  Policy makers expanded their bond-purchase plan up to £200 billion with the Governor also saying he had an ‘open mind’ on whether to increase it further to aid the economy.  A report by the British Chamber of Commerce showed that UK companies have found it harder to obtain credit – with 64% saying it was their biggest obstacle to growth in the coming years.
December 2009
Bank Base Rate (BBR): 0.50%
Consumer Price Index (CPI): 1.5%
Retail Price Index (RPI): -0.8%
An end-of-year analysis of the top 10 cities by the ‘Local Data Company’ showed revealed 142 of 900 estate agents were closing down, with chain operations being the worse hit.  Leeds was the worst hit and Bristol, Liverpool, London and Glasgow saw about a sixth of estate agencies closing in 2009.  The same survey showed Halifax has closed a third of its branches; Bairstow Eves has become a dominant chain (despite reducing branch numbers by a fifth) and the upmarket estate agents have broadly remained resilient (Savills have only closed six out of its 80 branches).  Proposals to invigorate the Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS) market were announced in the form proposals of finding alternative finance to the UK.  The Treasury stated: “Developing non-bank lending channels would help to improve the future resilience of the economy in the face of financial shocks.”
Research published by the National Landlords Association (NLA) pointed to almost three
quarters of landlords have experienced tenant rental arrears – 43% of which occurred in the last 12 months.  The NLA also appealed to the government to make major changes to the administration of the Local Housing Allowance (LHA) – it is estimated that total arrears across the UK could be as high as £220 million as landlords are not being passed the rent.   Vacant retail premises have also doubled from 7% at the start of the year to 15% in December with some town centres recording vacancy rates of over 40%.
GDP statistics demonstrated that the UK economy declined by 0.3% in quarter 3 of 2009 meaning that UK has been in recession for 18 months (the longest period since records began in 1955).  The Policy Exchange pointed to the fact that, whilst most people realised the
burgeoning national public debt, the extent of the public sector pension debt remain hidden from view.  This debt has grown as public sector workers have been promised pension
benefits often worth two thirds of final salary, index-linked for life.  The debt now stands at 78% of GDP (£1.1 trillion) with debt servicing costing close to £45.2 billion.
Many households across the UK throughout the year have struggled with fuel debts and the Citizens Advice Bureau (CAB) reported a 46% rise of people seeking assistance.  The most common reasons were low income, over-commitment, illness, disability and job loss.  They also pointed to irresponsible lending and poor financial skills adding to peoples debt problems.  According to late 2009 statistics by the life insurance brokers ‘Bright Grey’, 12m Brits (25%) are struggling to cope with their monthly bills and 39% of people have budgets so tight that they would be in trouble if they had to find an extra £50 each month.  The report also stated that essential bills (rent/mortgage payments, utilities, food, household costs etc.) now account for 68% of the average Brits household income (equates to £1,378 on average each month per person and £2,001 for families).
By the end of the year, uSwitch estimated the 7.3 million consumers withdrew over 38 million cash withdrawals using a credit card and also pointed out that the interest applied has increased significantly by 41% from 21.22% APR in 2005 to just under 30% APR.  The average interest rate on a credit card, at December 2009, is 18.04%.  The British Banking Association also stated that the proportion of balances bearing interest from December 2008 had fallen marginally by 0.6% to 65.3%.  A Price Waterhouse Coopers report estimated that, in 2009, the average borrowing per credit card has increased by 5% and surpassed £1,000 for the first time.  Research based on a Brit survey published by NS&I revealed that 63% of the
population have become more aware of their finances as a result of the credit crunch and are, in turn, making a concerted effort to look after their affairs.  48% stated they knew how much they had and owed in all their accounts (although older age groups tended to be surer of their finances than younger). The survey also pointed out that 31% of savers do not think they would have enough money to cope in an emergency.  The Financial Services Authority (FSA) published research indicating that the improvement of financial capability is directly
proportional to psychological well-being (moving to average levels of financial capability increases psychological wellbeing by over 5% and decreases anxiety and depression by 15%).
End of year statistics by moneysupermarket.com revealed that over 10 million people were overdrawn in the last 12 months since December 2008 (2.1 million have not come out) and people in employment wait for 27 days before dipping into their overdraft.  Research published by Abbey Savings highlighted the over one in four (28%) of British parents with young
children do not have any savings or ‘nest egg’ investments for their children and a further 20% of these parents have less than £1,000 to fall back on.  Their statistics did point out that the average saver is increasing the amount they put away 26% (£206 per month compared to £163 at the beginning of the year) but the number of people depositing into their savings
accounts has decreased by 6% since the start of 2009.

The Economy in 2009 for the Property Investor: Quarter 4

October 2009

  • Bank Base Rate (BBR): 0.50%
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): 1.50%
  • Retail Price Index (RPI): -0.8%

Homeowners continued to receive optimistic news that house prices were up for another month (albeit marginally).  However, as pointed out by Martin Gahbauer from Nationwide, several indices pointed to slowing growth rates:  “I would not say the market is particularly healthy, but at the beginning of the year there were few economists predicting house prices would be at this level by October.   The overall number of transactions is still low, however, and prices are still vulnerable to increases in supply.”  Howard Archer, Chief Economist at IHS Global Insight, also warned that homeowners could be in for a tough 2010, with prices expected to fall:  “While the Nationwide data indicates that house prices are still on an upward track from their February low, October’s significantly reduced month-on-month increase fuels our suspicion that the recent rally in house prices is unsustainable and will fizzle out before long.  We believe house prices will be at least 5 per cent lower at the end of 2010 compared to now, and the slippage could very well be greater still.”  Other news reported that mortgage lender GMAC were fined £2.8 million by the FSA for levying unfair charges on borrowers in arrears.

UK mortgage approvals climbed to their highest level in 1 ½ years.  Yet, there was an increase in the amount of compulsory liquidations and creditors’ voluntary liquidations by 14.6% in quarter 3 of 2009 when comparing the same period the year before.  In the same quarter, there was an increase of 9.3% on the same period in 2008 of receiverships (410), administrations (974) and company voluntary arrangements (194).  The Insolvency Service reported there were 35,242 individual solvencies in England and Wales (equivalent to 1 every 3.72 minutes) in the third quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis.  This was an increase of 6.6% on quarter 2 and a 28.2% increase when compared to the same period in 2008.  Figures showed public sector net debt (PSND) increased to £829.7bn (59.2% of gross domestic product and £33,188 per household).  The PSND increased by £135bn in 12 months (or £4,268 per second).  The interest paid on the PSND by the Government from between April and October was £15.4bn (equivalent to £1,056 per household per annum).  Another statistics released by the British Bankers Association pointed to total credit card debt in the UK was £54.5 billion (the UK collective credit card limit on credit cards is £158 billion).

The M4 measure that the Bank of England uses to monitor the effectiveness of quantitative easing fell 0.7% from September and was down an annualised 5.3% in the three months through to October (note that The gauge excludes financial companies that specialize in intermediating between banks, such as holding companies and non-bank credit grantors).  The Centre for Economics and Business Research predicted that the Bank of England will leave the base rate at 0.5% until 2011 at least, remaining below 2.0% to 2014 stating: “The forecasts are based on the assumption that the incoming government will need to take fiscal action of around 100 billion pounds in tax rises and spending cuts to correct the fiscal deficit. If — as the bookmakers expect — the new government is Conservative, the forecasts suggest tax rises of 20 billion pounds and spending cuts of 80 billion pounds.”

November 2009

  • Bank Base Rate (BBR): 0.50%
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): 1.90%
  • Retail Price Index (RPI): -1.4%

Hometrack reported a fourth consecutive monthly rise as a ‘shortage of homes sustained the property market’.  The UK’s largest residential housing developer – Barratt – pointed to an increase of reservations per site by over 30% compared to the same period in 2008.  However, Hometrack also stated that the pick-up in prices has not been felt throughout the country and there are several parts that have been consistently falling. The number of active buyers which has propped up the market this year is drying up with new buyer registrations were up at  just 0.1% in November, the lowest level since the start of the year.  Rightmove also reported that average prices in November fell by 1.6% – according to Miles Shipside, Commercial Director: “In all but the most buoyant of markets, home moving comes second to Christmas festivities.  While the market has recovered from some dreadful lows, this month’s price fall proves that it does not yet have the strength to buck seasonal trends.”  The Bank of England stated that the outlook for the housing market “will depend, in part, on the supply of mortgage credit.”

Howard Archer, an economist at Global Insight, said: “House prices will probably keep rising in the next few months but are likely to suffer a relapse next year in the face of higher and still rising unemployment, muted earnings growth and the recent worsening in affordability due to house prices rising from their early-2009 lows.”

Despite a slight rise in actual quarter 2 – overall, there was positive news for UK repossessions with most areas reporting significant decreases in statistics when comparing quarter 3 of 2008 and 2009 (see our repossession statistics report).  Note the number of buy to let properties taken into repossession in the third quarter compared to the second rose from 1,400 to 1,600 – however, for the third quarter in a row, there was a decline in the number of buy to let mortgages falling into arrears (a decrease of 1.7% when comparing quarter 2 with quarter 3).  The Council of Mortgage Lenders cut its forecast for repossessions in 2009 to 48,000 pointing to strong indicators of increased lender forbearance, Government schemes to help people stay in their homes and the impact of low interest rates.  For investors in Scotland, news pointed to a 20% rise in mortgage actions taken to court in 2008-09 and a 50% rise in decrees granted.

Mervyn King stated that the pace of economic growth may be ‘pretty buoyant’ in the short term even if the recovery is not ‘pretty strong’.  A Gfk NOP report stated that Consumer confidence fell 4 points to minus 17 in November and gauge of whether people think this is a good time to make major purchases dropped seven points to minus 19.  Policy makers expanded their bond-purchase plan up to £200 billion with the Governor also saying he had an ‘open mind’ on whether to increase it further to aid the economy.  A report by the British Chamber of Commerce showed that UK companies have found it harder to obtain credit – with 64% saying it was their biggest obstacle to growth in the coming years.

December 2009

  • Bank Base Rate (BBR): 0.50%
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): 1.5%
  • Retail Price Index (RPI): -0.8%

An end-of-year analysis of the top 10 cities by the ‘Local Data Company’ showed revealed 142 of 900 estate agents were closing down, with chain operations being the worse hit.  Leeds was the worst hit and Bristol, Liverpool, London and Glasgow saw about a sixth of estate agencies closing in 2009.  The same survey showed Halifax has closed a third of its branches; Bairstow Eves has become a dominant chain (despite reducing branch numbers by a fifth) and the upmarket estate agents have broadly remained resilient (Savills have only closed six out of its 80 branches).  Proposals to invigorate the Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS) market were announced in the form proposals of finding alternative finance to the UK.  The Treasury stated: “Developing non-bank lending channels would help to improve the future resilience of the economy in the face of financial shocks.”

Research published by the National Landlords Association (NLA) pointed to almost three quarters of landlords have experienced tenant rental arrears – 43% of which occurred in the last 12 months.  The NLA also appealed to the government to make major changes to the administration of the Local Housing Allowance (LHA) – it is estimated that total arrears across the UK could be as high as £220 million as landlords are not being passed the rent.   Vacant retail premises have also doubled from 7% at the start of the year to 15% in December with some town centres recording vacancy rates of over 40%.

GDP statistics demonstrated that the UK economy declined by 0.3% in quarter 3 of 2009 meaning that UK has been in recession for 18 months (the longest period since records began in 1955).  The Policy Exchange pointed to the fact that, whilst most people realised the burgeoning national public debt, the extent of the public sector pension debt remain hidden from view.  This debt has grown as public sector workers have been promised pension benefits often worth two thirds of final salary, index-linked for life.  The debt now stands at 78% of GDP (£1.1 trillion) with debt servicing costing close to £45.2 billion.

Many households across the UK throughout the year have struggled with fuel debts and the Citizens Advice Bureau (CAB) reported a 46% rise of people seeking assistance.  The most common reasons were low income, over-commitment, illness, disability and job loss.  They also pointed to irresponsible lending and poor financial skills adding to peoples debt problems.  According to late 2009 statistics by the life insurance brokers ‘Bright Grey’, 12m Brits (25%) are struggling to cope with their monthly bills and 39% of people have budgets so tight that they would be in trouble if they had to find an extra £50 each month.  The report also stated that essential bills (rent/mortgage payments, utilities, food, household costs etc.) now account for 68% of the average Brits household income (equates to £1,378 on average each month per person and £2,001 for families).

By the end of the year, uSwitch estimated the 7.3 million consumers withdrew over 38 million cash withdrawals using a credit card and also pointed out that the interest applied has increased significantly by 41% from 21.22% APR in 2005 to just under 30% APR.  The average interest rate on a credit card, at December 2009, is 18.04%.  The British Banking Association also stated that the proportion of balances bearing interest from December 2008 had fallen marginally by 0.6% to 65.3%.  A Price Waterhouse Coopers report estimated that, in 2009, the average borrowing per credit card has increased by 5% and surpassed £1,000 for the first time.  Research based on a Brit survey published by NS&I revealed that 63% of the population have become more aware of their finances as a result of the credit crunch and are, in turn, making a concerted effort to look after their affairs.  48% stated they knew how much they had and owed in all their accounts (although older age groups tended to be surer of their finances than younger). The survey also pointed out that 31% of savers do not think they would have enough money to cope in an emergency.  The Financial Services Authority (FSA) published research indicating that the improvement of financial capability is directly proportional to psychological well-being (moving to average levels of financial capability increases psychological wellbeing by over 5% and decreases anxiety and depression by 15%).

End of year statistics by moneysupermarket.com revealed that over 10 million people were overdrawn in the last 12 months since December 2008 (2.1 million have not come out) and people in employment wait for 27 days before dipping into their overdraft.  Research published by Abbey Savings highlighted the over one in four (28%) of British parents with young children do not have any savings or ‘nest egg’ investments for their children and a further 20% of these parents have less than £1,000 to fall back on.  Their statistics did point out that the average saver is increasing the amount they put away 26% (£206 per month compared to £163 at the beginning of the year) but the number of people depositing into their savings accounts has decreased by 6% since the start of 2009.

—————————————————————————————————————————————————

In our full 2010 report, we look at what the all major house price indices / housing organisations are saying about the year ahead as well as some predictions for the economy in general (including relevant observations from the late 2009 Pre Budget Report). We then look at several investment property acquisition strategies (including lease options) followed, finally, by effective methods to conduct accurate due diligence in 2010.  To access the report (you will need to be a member of the Property Investor Hub), please click on the link below:

The Property Investor Report 2010

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