Archive for the ‘Value Investing’ Category

Allsop Property Auctions Summer Update

June 2nd, 2011

Please see an interview with Gary Murphy of Allsop – one of the leading auction houses in the country – where we discuss recent sales patterns; the ongoing popularity of auction buying; impending base rate rises; auction stock level predictions; getting the best deal possible in the current market; dealing with negative equity; placing the right guide price when selling; conditions of sale and recent emerging issues that investors should be aware of.

1) As we approach the half way mark of 2011, how have auction sales been bearing up? Allsop has been weathering the storm particularly well. Our residential sales are averaging 86% success. At the approach to the half way mark in 2011 we have raised £127.3m from 3 sales (796 lots, average lot size £160,000). The industry average is 67%.

2) Why do you think that auction buying has remained so popular during the turbulent market witnessed in te UK in recent years? Auction sales, when prepared correctly, offer buyers value for money. Lots should be available to buy at their published guide prices. (Less reputable auction houses may mislead bidders by quoting guides at levels lower than reserves). This is in contrast to private treaty marketing where asking price levels often reflect the aspirations of the seller rather than a realistic price to the buyer.

Buyers do not like to waste time or money investigating property that is overpriced.  The method is entirely transparent and of course binding on the fall of the hammer. The process is final and leaves no room for renegotiation of the price after auction.

3) Are you expecting your auction stock levels to increase when the base rate eventually rise? We may well see an increase in the levels of distressed stock coming to market as borrowers struggle with increasing mortgage payments, yes.

4)  How can buyers in the current market obtain the best deal possible? Make sure you do your homework so that you’re not surprised by anything after your purchase. For example, instruct a surveyor to do a full structural survey to ensure that you’re advised of any hidden defects such as subsidence or rot. Ask your solicitor to fully investigate the legal title and report on any problems such as restrictive covenants. And make sure that you have adequate funding to support your maximum bid. Unforeseen problems could turn a good deal bad.

5) What advice would you have to the significant amount of landlords that are currently in negative equity and would really like to sell? Think seriously about auction sale to get you out of a tight spot. Waiting for values to recover to boom time levels is not a realistic option for those who are steadily sinking further into difficulty. Often it’s better to cut your losses and move on. Look at the financial future of your property assets carefully and honestly.

6) Whilst the general view is that general values have been relatively flat for most of 2011 – for those that are selling, what would be your advice on placing a guide price at auction currently? Seek the best advice in the market…and follow it. Guides and reserves have to be modest to attract buyers. Once competition has been generated to the maximum, the auctioneer will have the best chance of extracting the highest price for you from the room.

7) What should a vendor look out for in the conditions of sale? There are so many banana skins. Make sure you don’t step on one!  Look out for…

  • Penal buyers’ fees. Some sellers are known to charge up to 5% of the purchase price;
  • If conditions refer to other documents such as planning consents or leases, make sure you obtain copies and read them;
  • Some sellers may impose a clawback clause on sites. You may have to pay more to the seller if planning consent is obtained at a later date;
  • There may be outstanding arrears of rent or service charges for which you the buyer may be responsible.

The list is endless. It’s always best to ask a solicitor to guide you. If he/she gets it wrong, at least you have someone else to blame!

8)Similarly, are there any issues that have emerged recently that buyers should be aware of ?

  • Watch auctioneers who quote guides below reserves to entice buyers. It’s contrary to RICS guidance and a criminal offence under the Property Misdescriptions Act 1991;
  • Money Laundering is a hot topic and buyers should remember that cash deposits are not acceptable. Although auctioneers are not required to verify the buyers’ identity (only the sellers’), most do so as good practice. So remember to provide the necessary documents at the sale;
  • Fixed charge receivers are increasingly prevalent as auction vendors. Often the information available to them is quite limited at the point of sale. The onus of due diligence by the buyer should not be under estimated in these cases. If you’re concerned about the information available, you must either accept the risks or withdraw from the bidding.

9) What would be your recommendations if a lot doesn’t sell? Always make an offer. You never know!

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • email
  • LinkedIn
  • Live
  • MSN Reporter
  • PDF
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • Yahoo! Bookmarks
  • Yahoo! Buzz
  • Reddit
  • StumbleUpon

The Concept of ‘Value Investing’

July 14th, 2010

Value investing has long been a methodology used across a variety of sectors in addition to property; its usage has becoming particularly pertinent over the years as a solid strategy that can be used regardless of how markets are behaving.  We spoke briefly to David Kuo, from the well established investment and finance website The Motley Fool, on a range of topics relating to this wide and fascinating subject:

1) Can you explain who the ‘Motley Fool’ are, and a bit about your history? Sixteen years ago, two brothers, Tom & David Gardner, who believed that private investors could be as good as professional at managing investments if they were given access to the right information, set up The Motley Fool in America. We call ourselves Fools (with a capital “F”) because the Fool or Jester was the only person in Shakespearean times who could tell the truth without risking his life. Our logo is the jester and we have offices in both the US and the UK. We communicate with our visitors through our daily investment articles, weekly podcasts and discussion boards.

2) What exactly is ‘value investing’? Value investing, as far as shares are concerned, means buying shares that are unreasonably cheap. So if you can buy a share that is cheaper than other similar shares, and there is no obvious reason for that cheapness other than perhaps market sentiment, then you may have a share that represents value. It may therefore offer above-average growth prospects. Put another way, if you can buy pound coin for 80p, then that represents value.

3) Can you discuss the history of the concept please? Value investing can be traced back to Benjamin Graham who is regarded as the father of value investing. Graham would trawl through mountains of company accounts comparing the intrinsic value of a company with the market price of the business. The two are not necessarily the same, and when the price is significantly lower than the intrinsic value, Graham would buy the share and wait patiently for the market to recognise the true value. These were known as “cigar butt” companies because they had a few puffs left in them.

4) One of the main principles of value investing – is that you continue regardless of what the market is doing (ie. bullish or bearish) – can you explain this a little further? Markets can be driven as much by sentiment as it can be by value. When investor sentiment is poor, there is a good chance that shares may fall to reflect this even though nothing fundamentally may have changed in the business. This is an example of how value and price are out of sync with each other. This would represent a good opportunity for value investors to investigate further, perhaps buy the share if they are cheap enough and wait for the value to be outed.

5) Is it complicated to apply? With value investing, the cheapness is measured by popular ratios, such as price earnings, price to book, yield, and other factors about the company like the level of its debt. Shares are screened to look for shares whose P/E is two-thirds of the market; the yield is 50% above the market; the shares are below the net book value of the assets and with little or no debt.

6) Can you name some prominent investors / investment companies who are using the concept today – and how? Perhaps the most well known, modern-day exponent of value investing is Warren Buffett. The legendary investor is renowned for his many quotes and perhaps the one that best encapsulates value investing is: Be fearful when the market is greedy and be greedy when the market is fearful.

7) Why has the concept be viewed as some as ‘contrarian’? That is because it flies in the face of herd mentality. We have to remember that financial markets are actually different to other markets that we may be more familiar with. For example, if the price of eggs goes up, people eventually start buying fewer eggs. But in financial markets, at least over the short to medium term, rising prices causes people to buy more, because if people think, I want to ride this tide. Disciplined value investors on the other hand will ignore sentiment and sell once the value in the share has been outed.

8)How important is the concept of ‘value investing’ to your own strategy and those at the ‘Motley Fool’? Value investing is one of many disciplines that also include high-yield investing, growth investing and momentum investing. There is no right or wrong discipline only one that is right for you.

9) Are there any risks / downsides? There is no investing Holy Grail. There are risks associated with any style of investing, for instance, high-yield investing is often perceived as one of the safest. But recent events with the banks and BP has shown that even reliable dividend payers can trim, axe and slash their dividend payouts.

10) What are the the factors to be vigilant of if going for a value based investment strategy? It is vital to build into the value calculations a health margin of safety to ensure that you buy the shares at a sufficiently low price. There is a possibility that the shares could fall further, which is why it is important to cut your losses if that should happen. Warren Buffett once said there are two important rules of investing: The first is do not lose money. The second is never forget rule number one.

11) Today, with a more realistic property market backdrop (where prices are perhaps at a more realistic level than before the onset of the recession), there are more property investors looking apply value-based concepts – how do you think it this can be done specifically for property and land? Property and shares are the only two asset classes that have beaten inflation over the long term. Consequently, there are similarities between the two. If you can buy an asset at a generous discount to its book value, manage to generate a market yield and do so without taking on excessive debt, then you may have found yourself a value property that you can hold until the value is outed. Personally, I would prefer to look at Real Estate Investment Trusts where the market is more liquid.

12) If investors wanted to read more into the concepts – what references would you recommend? The definitive book on value investing is Benjamin Graham and David Dodd’s Security Analysis.  Our resident value investing expert, Stephen Bland, writes a weekly article in which he identifies his value picks, and explains why and how he has chosen them.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • email
  • LinkedIn
  • Live
  • MSN Reporter
  • PDF
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • Yahoo! Bookmarks
  • Yahoo! Buzz
  • Reddit
  • StumbleUpon